UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Frazier

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
99% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

1,506

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.3 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 7.2 More than 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.5 More than 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.2 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Gary Frazier
Significantly longer reach 197 cm vs 184 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier 244 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Frazier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 3:18, how much damage will he do? Cormier Frazier
Significant Strikes21
Cormier's excellent striking offense will dominate Frazier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 30 Significant Strikes in 3:18
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cormier's average takedown offense is matched by Frazier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:18
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Frazier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gary
Frazier
In 3:18, how much damage will he do? Frazier Cormier
Significant Strikes10
Frazier's average striking offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 30 Significant Strikes in 3:18
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Frazier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:18
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Frazier is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Frazier is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Frazier is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Frazier 8.3
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Frazier 8.3
Great takedowns by Cormier
3 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs Nelson
4 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
4 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Barnett

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Frazier 7.6
Great knockouts by Cormier
Round 2 Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
Round 1 Jul 31, 2010 vs Browne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Frazier 6.7
Great submissions by Cormier
Round 1 Nov 05, 2010 vs Palelei
Round 1 Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Round 1 Aug 13, 2010 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Frazier 7.3
Fast finishes by Cormier
542 seconds Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
236 seconds Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
62 seconds Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 25, 2009Strikeforce - Challengers 3
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XR2 KO
1,5001,550
1,5571,493
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Frazier
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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