UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Nurmagomedov

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
56% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier 205 lbs vs 155 lbs More than 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 184 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Slightly taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly younger 30 years vs 39 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 11:23, how much damage will he do? Cormier Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes62
Cormier's excellent striking offense will dominate Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:23
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cormier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:23
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
In 11:23, how much damage will he do? Nurmagomedov Cormier
Significant Strikes43
Nurmagomedov's good striking offense is matched by Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:23
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Nurmagomedov's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:23
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.6
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Nurmagomedov 9.0
Great takedowns by Nurmagomedov
5 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
21 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Trujillo
3 takedowns Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
Great knockouts by Cormier
Round 2 Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
Round 1 Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
Great submissions by Cormier
Round 2 Apr 08, 2017 vs Johnson
Round 3 May 24, 2014 vs Henderson
Round 1 Aug 13, 2010 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
Fast finishes by Cormier
542 seconds Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
236 seconds Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
62 seconds Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Nurmagomedov
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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