UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Rockhold

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
67% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

2,108

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Luke Rockhold
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 184 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 191 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Younger 34 years vs 39 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rockhold’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 9:56, how much damage will he do? Cormier Rockhold
Significant Strikes51
Cormier's excellent striking offense will dominate Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:56
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cormier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rockhold on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luke
Rockhold
In 9:56, how much damage will he do? Rockhold Cormier
Significant Strikes47
Rockhold's excellent striking offense will dominate Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 89 Significant Strikes in 9:56
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Rockhold's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:56
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rockhold is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rockhold has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rockhold is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Rockhold 9.1
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Rockhold 7.4
Great takedowns by Cormier
3 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs Nelson
4 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
4 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Barnett

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Rockhold 7.9
Great knockouts by Cormier
Round 2 Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
Round 1 Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Rockhold 8.6
Great submissions by Rockhold
Round 1 Nov 06, 2009 vs Taylor
Round 1 Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Round 1 Nov 21, 2008 vs Theotikos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Rockhold 9.5
Fast finishes by Rockhold
151 seconds Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
266 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
30 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Rockhold
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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