UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Johnson

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
93% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

1,776

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.2 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.6 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Tony Johnson
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 30 years vs 37 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Cormier has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tony
Johnson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Johnson 7.8
Great knockouts by Cormier
Round 2 Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
Round 1 Jul 31, 2010 vs Browne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Johnson 6.6
Great submissions by Cormier
Round 1 Nov 05, 2010 vs Palelei
Round 1 Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Round 1 Aug 13, 2010 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Johnson 7.2
Fast finishes by Cormier
542 seconds Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
236 seconds Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
62 seconds Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 13, 2010KOTC - Imminent Danger
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XDEC
1,6801,740
1,7391,682
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Johnson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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