UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Riley

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
97% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

1,599

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.2 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 7.7 More than 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 7.4 Around 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.3 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Jason Riley
Much taller 198 cm vs 180 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly heavier 244 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 36 years vs 38 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Riley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 4:03, how much damage will he do? Cormier Riley
Significant Strikes27
Cormier's excellent striking offense will dominate Riley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 36 Significant Strikes in 4:03
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cormier's average takedown offense may be a factor against Riley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Cormier is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Riley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jason
Riley
In 4:03, how much damage will he do? Riley Cormier
Significant Strikes11
Riley's average striking offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 36 Significant Strikes in 4:03
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Riley's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Riley is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Riley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Riley is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Riley 8.1
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Riley 8.4
Great takedowns by Cormier
3 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs Nelson
4 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
4 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Barnett

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Riley 8.0
Great knockouts by Cormier
Round 2 Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
Round 1 Jul 31, 2010 vs Browne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Riley 6.2
Great submissions by Cormier
Round 1 Nov 05, 2010 vs Palelei
Round 1 Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Round 1 Aug 13, 2010 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Riley 7.6
Fast finishes by Cormier
542 seconds Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
236 seconds Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
62 seconds Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 21, 2010Strikeforce - Houston
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 KO
1,7391,804
1,7981,745
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Riley
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus