UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cormier vs Cummins

2,234

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
93% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

1,787

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.0 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.0 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Patrick Cummins
Significantly longer reach 194 cm vs 184 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cummins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 6:28, how much damage will he do? Cormier Cummins
Significant Strikes43
Cormier's excellent striking offense will dominate Cummins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 58 Significant Strikes in 6:28
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cormier's average takedown offense is matched by Cummins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:28
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Cummins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Patrick
Cummins
In 6:28, how much damage will he do? Cummins Cormier
Significant Strikes25
Cummins's good striking offense is matched by Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 58 Significant Strikes in 6:28
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Cummins's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:28
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cummins is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cummins is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cummins is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Cummins 8.7
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Cummins 7.9
Great knockouts by Cormier
Round 2 Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
Round 1 Jul 31, 2010 vs Browne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Cummins 7.3
Great submissions by Cormier
Round 1 Nov 05, 2010 vs Palelei
Round 1 Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Round 1 Aug 13, 2010 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Cummins 8.0
Fast finishes by Cormier
542 seconds Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
236 seconds Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
62 seconds Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 22, 2014UFC 170
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Cummins
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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