UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Askren vs Aoki

2,176

CageRank

WINNER
Aoki

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
61% chance Aoki
WILL WIN

2,254

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Shinya Aoki
Much better submission offense 9.9 vs 7.8 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.7 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Ben Askren
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.1 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 169 lbs vs 153 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Aoki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Askren’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shinya
Aoki
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aoki is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aoki has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aoki is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Askren on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aoki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Askren
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Askren is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Askren is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Askren has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aoki 6.1
fighter Askren 7.9
Great knockouts by Askren
Round 4 Jul 31, 2013 vs Koreshkov
Round 3 Jan 24, 2013 vs Amoussou
Round 1 Feb 07, 2009 vs Flowers

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aoki 9.9
fighter Askren 7.8
Great submissions by Aoki
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
Round 1 Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez
Round 1 Aug 26, 2006 vs Black

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aoki 9.4
fighter Askren 8.1
Fast finishes by Aoki
324 seconds Dec 31, 2012 vs McKee
113 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Kawajiri
92 seconds Dec 31, 2008 vs Alvarez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aoki
legend Askren
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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