UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Farrar vs Faber

1,651

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
95% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 6.6 More than 45% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 7.4 Around 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.2 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.5 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 38 years vs 41 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Chance Farrar
Much heavier hands 8.0 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Farrar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 4:14, how much damage will he do? Faber Farrar
Significant Strikes21
Faber's average striking offense is matched by Farrar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 38 Significant Strikes in 4:14
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Faber's average takedown offense is matched by Farrar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:14
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Farrar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chance
Farrar
In 4:14, how much damage will he do? Farrar Faber
Significant Strikes11
Farrar's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 38 Significant Strikes in 4:14
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Farrar's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:14
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Farrar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Farrar is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Farrar is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Farrar 8.2
Great striking by Faber
29 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
54 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
36 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Farrar 8.4
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Farrar 8.0
Great knockouts by Farrar
Round 1 Sep 29, 2007 vs Mendoza
Round 1 Mar 31, 2007 vs Smith
Round 1 Oct 21, 2006 vs Aimes

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Farrar 6.6
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Farrar 7.5
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 3, 2007WEC 28
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR3 SUB
1,7032,042
1,6902,055
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Farrar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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