UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brookins vs Aldo

1,826

CageRank

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
94% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

2,308

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.0 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.1 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.8 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Younger 30 years vs 32 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Jonathan Brookins
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.6 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much taller 183 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.9 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly longer reach 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brookins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Aldo Brookins
Significant Strikes94
Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against Brookins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Aldo's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Brookins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Brookins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jonathan
Brookins
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Brookins Aldo
Significant Strikes56
Brookins's good striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Brookins's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brookins is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brookins has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brookins is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter Brookins 8.7
Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Edgar
51 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Florian
38 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aldo 7.9
fighter Brookins 8.7
Great takedowns by Brookins
1 takedown Feb 15, 2012 vs Rocha
3 takedowns Dec 04, 2010 vs Johnson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter Brookins 7.0
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter Brookins 8.1
Great submissions by Brookins
Round 2 Sep 26, 2009 vs Palomino
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Ledbetter
Round 2 Jun 30, 2007 vs Jabouin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter Brookins 8.2
Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
380 seconds Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
8 seconds Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 5, 2008WEC 36
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XDEC
1,7561,874
1,7231,908
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend Brookins
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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