UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brookins vs Rocha

1,826

CageRank

WINNER
Rocha

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
56% chance Rocha
WILL WIN

1,868

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vagner Rocha
Much better submission offense 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Jonathan Brookins
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.7 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 32 years vs 35 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Rocha on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brookins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vagner
Rocha
In 11:54, how much damage will he do? Rocha Brookins
Significant Strikes65
Rocha's average striking offense may be a factor against Brookins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 107 Significant Strikes in 11:54
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Rocha's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Brookins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:54
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rocha is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rocha has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Rocha is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Brookins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rocha’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jonathan
Brookins
In 11:54, how much damage will he do? Brookins Rocha
Significant Strikes72
Brookins's good striking offense may be a factor against Rocha's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 107 Significant Strikes in 11:54
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Brookins's average takedown offense is matched by Rocha's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:54
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brookins is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Brookins has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brookins is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rocha 8.5
fighter Brookins 8.7
Great striking by Brookins
18 strikes Feb 15, 2012 vs Rocha
32 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Johnson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rocha 8.4
fighter Brookins 8.7
Great takedowns by Brookins
1 takedown Feb 15, 2012 vs Rocha
3 takedowns Dec 04, 2010 vs Johnson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rocha 6.7
fighter Brookins 7.0
Great knockouts by Brookins
Round 1 Feb 15, 2012 vs Rocha
Round 1 Feb 17, 2007 vs Bartlett
Round 1 Jul 15, 2006 vs Berube

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rocha 8.9
fighter Brookins 8.1
Great submissions by Rocha
Round 5 Apr 26, 2013 vs Reese
Round 2 Nov 02, 2012 vs Bruno
Round 2 Sep 17, 2011 vs McKenzie

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rocha 8.2
fighter Brookins 8.2
Fast finishes by Rocha
353 seconds Nov 02, 2012 vs Bruno
529 seconds Sep 17, 2011 vs McKenzie
152 seconds May 07, 2011 vs Clark
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 15, 2012UFC on Fuel TV 1
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
1,8481,778
1,8881,738
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rocha
legend Brookins
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus