UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Brookins vs Nelson

1,826

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Brookins

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
55% chance Brookins
WILL WIN

1,794

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jonathan Brookins
Significantly fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Slightly better submission defense 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Kyle Nelson
Younger 26 years vs 32 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Brookins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nelson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jonathan
Brookins
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brookins is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Brookins has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Brookins is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Nelson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brookins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kyle
Nelson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nelson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nelson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Nelson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Brookins 7.0
fighter Nelson 7.0
Great knockouts by Nelson
Round 1 May 27, 2017 vs Worthy
Round 1 Apr 23, 2016 vs Bourgeois
Round 2 May 10, 2013 vs Dubois

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Brookins 8.1
fighter Nelson 7.6
Great submissions by Brookins
Round 2 Sep 26, 2009 vs Palomino
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Ledbetter
Round 2 Jun 30, 2007 vs Jabouin

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Brookins 8.2
fighter Nelson 7.6
Fast finishes by Brookins
92 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs Rocha
404 seconds Sep 26, 2009 vs Palomino
127 seconds Jul 18, 2008 vs Santibanez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Brookins
legend Nelson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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