UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Payan vs Stephens

1,771

CageRank

WINNER
Stephens

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
77% chance Stephens
WILL WIN

1,978

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jeremy Stephens
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 32 years vs 36 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Estevan Payan
Better submission offense 6.7 vs 6.5 Almost the same
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Stephens on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Payan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Stephens
In 10:56, how much damage will he do? Stephens Payan
Significant Strikes53
Stephens's average striking offense is matched by Payan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:56
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Stephens's average takedown offense is matched by Payan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stephens has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Stephens is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stephens is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Payan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stephens’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Estevan
Payan
In 10:56, how much damage will he do? Payan Stephens
Significant Strikes39
Payan's average striking offense won't be a factor against Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:56
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Payan's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Stephens's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Payan is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Payan is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Payan has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Stephens 8.5
fighter Payan 8.5
Great striking by Stephens
40 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Elkins
3 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
55 strikes May 08, 2010 vs Stout

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Stephens 8.2
fighter Payan 7.9
Great knockouts by Stephens
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
Round 3 Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
Round 2 Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Stephens 6.5
fighter Payan 6.7
Great submissions by Payan
Round 1 Jan 09, 2009 vs Robinson
Round 2 Apr 11, 2008 vs Horlacher
Round 2 Jan 08, 2008 vs Watson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Stephens 8.0
fighter Payan 7.5
Fast finishes by Stephens
40 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Mariano Bezerra
753 seconds Jan 01, 2011 vs Davis
584 seconds Jan 23, 2008 vs Miller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 25, 2013UFC 160
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
DECX
1,9251,832
1,8621,895
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Stephens
legend Payan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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