UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lima vs Brown

2,205

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lima

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Lima
WILL WIN

2,072

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Douglas Lima
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 29 years vs 36 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Matt Brown
From what we can tell, Douglas Lima dominates Matt Brown in every way.
Lima on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brown’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Douglas
Lima
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lima has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lima is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lima is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Brown on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lima’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Brown
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brown has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brown is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brown is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lima 9.6
fighter Brown 9.3
Great knockouts by Lima
Round 2 Sep 20, 2013 vs Saunders
Round 1 Feb 21, 2013 vs Baker
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Saunders

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lima 7.5
fighter Brown 6.8
Great submissions by Lima
Round 3 Nov 12, 2010 vs Juarez
Round 2 Sep 10, 2010 vs Ford
Round 1 Jul 14, 2007 vs Nuno

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lima 8.9
fighter Brown 8.5
Fast finishes by Lima
573 seconds Sep 20, 2013 vs Saunders
154 seconds Feb 21, 2013 vs Baker
381 seconds Nov 12, 2011 vs Saunders
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 9, 2007ISCF - Invasion
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
R2 SUBX
1,7181,615
1,6541,679
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lima
legend Brown
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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