UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lima vs Baker

2,205

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lima

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
93% chance Lima
WILL WIN

1,758

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Douglas Lima
Much heavier hands 9.6 vs 8.1 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.5 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.8 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 29 years vs 36 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Kyle Baker
From what we can tell, Douglas Lima dominates Kyle Baker in every way.
Lima on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Baker’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Douglas
Lima
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lima has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lima is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lima is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Baker on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lima’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kyle
Baker
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Baker has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Baker is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Baker is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lima 9.6
fighter Baker 8.1
Great knockouts by Lima
Round 2 Sep 20, 2013 vs Saunders
Round 1 Feb 21, 2013 vs Baker
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Saunders

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lima 7.5
fighter Baker 6.5
Great submissions by Lima
Round 3 Nov 12, 2010 vs Juarez
Round 2 Sep 10, 2010 vs Ford
Round 1 Jul 14, 2007 vs Nuno

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lima 8.9
fighter Baker 7.9
Fast finishes by Lima
573 seconds Sep 20, 2013 vs Saunders
154 seconds Feb 21, 2013 vs Baker
381 seconds Nov 12, 2011 vs Saunders
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R3 SUBX
1,7341,522
1,7571,499
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lima
legend Baker
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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