UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lima vs Perales

2,205

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lima

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
99% chance Lima
WILL WIN

1,434

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Douglas Lima
Much heavier hands 9.6 vs 6.1 Around 60% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 6.4 Around 40% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 6.6 More than 40% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 7.4 More than 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much younger 29 years vs 41 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.5 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Ray Perales
From what we can tell, Douglas Lima dominates Ray Perales in every way.
Lima on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Perales’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Douglas
Lima
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lima has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lima has a chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Below average
Resistance
Decision
Lima is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Perales on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lima’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ray
Perales
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Perales is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Perales is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Perales is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lima 9.6
fighter Perales 6.1
Great knockouts by Lima
Round 2 Sep 20, 2013 vs Saunders
Round 1 Feb 21, 2013 vs Baker
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Saunders

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lima 7.5
fighter Perales 6.5
Great submissions by Lima
Round 3 Nov 12, 2010 vs Juarez
Round 2 Sep 10, 2010 vs Ford
Round 1 Jul 14, 2007 vs Nuno

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lima 8.9
fighter Perales 6.4
Fast finishes by Lima
573 seconds Sep 20, 2013 vs Saunders
154 seconds Feb 21, 2013 vs Baker
381 seconds Nov 12, 2011 vs Saunders
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 15, 2006XFS 3
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,6901,524
1,7181,496
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lima
legend Perales
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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