UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lima vs Carl

2,205

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lima

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
71% chance Lima
WILL WIN

2,047

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Douglas Lima
Much heavier hands 9.6 vs 6.5 Around 50% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 29 years vs 32 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Steve Carl
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 7.5 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Lima on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carl’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Douglas
Lima
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lima has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lima is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lima is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Carl on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lima’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Steve
Carl
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carl is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Carl has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carl is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lima 9.6
fighter Carl 6.5
Great knockouts by Lima
Round 2 Sep 20, 2013 vs Saunders
Round 1 Feb 21, 2013 vs Baker
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Saunders

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lima 7.5
fighter Carl 9.5
Great submissions by Carl
Round 4 Oct 26, 2013 vs Burkman
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Trace
Round 1 Aug 26, 2010 vs Stinson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lima 8.9
fighter Carl 9.2
Fast finishes by Carl
962 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Burkman
55 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Trace
150 seconds Aug 26, 2010 vs Stinson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 10, 2011Bellator 49
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R1 SUBX
1,9771,946
2,0231,900
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lima
legend Carl
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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