UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gonzalez vs Parisyan

1,723

CageRank

WINNER
Parisyan

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
72% chance Parisyan
WILL WIN

1,890

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Karo Parisyan
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.5 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly longer reach 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Slightly harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Fernando Gonzalez
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Parisyan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gonzalez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Karo
Parisyan
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Parisyan Gonzalez
Significant Strikes68
Parisyan's average striking offense is matched by Gonzalez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns6
Parisyan's excellent takedown offense will dominate Gonzalez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Parisyan is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Parisyan is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Parisyan has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Gonzalez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Parisyan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fernando
Gonzalez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Gonzalez Parisyan
Significant Strikes54
Gonzalez's average striking offense is matched by Parisyan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Gonzalez's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Parisyan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gonzalez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Gonzalez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gonzalez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Parisyan 8.4
fighter Gonzalez 8.1
Great striking by Parisyan
54 strikes May 26, 2007 vs Burkman
56 strikes Dec 13, 2006 vs Fickett
18 strikes Apr 15, 2006 vs Thompson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Parisyan 9.4
fighter Gonzalez 8.1
Great takedowns by Parisyan
2 takedowns May 26, 2007 vs Burkman
3 takedowns Dec 13, 2006 vs Fickett
2 takedowns Apr 15, 2006 vs Thompson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Parisyan 6.8
fighter Gonzalez 7.0
Great knockouts by Gonzalez
Round 1 Apr 23, 2009 vs Mays
Round 1 Jun 30, 2007 vs Atoe
Round 1 Aug 17, 2006 vs Stiebling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Parisyan 7.8
fighter Gonzalez 6.5
Great submissions by Parisyan
Round 2 Jul 10, 2010 vs Mortimer
Round 1 Sep 26, 2003 vs Strasser
Round 1 Apr 05, 1999 vs Rittgers

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Parisyan 8.2
fighter Gonzalez 7.3
Fast finishes by Parisyan
558 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Mortimer
284 seconds Apr 15, 2006 vs Thompson
232 seconds Sep 26, 2003 vs Strasser
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 3, 2014Bellator 127
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Parisyan
legend Gonzalez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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