UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gonzalez vs Dexter

1,723

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gonzalez

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance Gonzalez
WILL WIN

1,514

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fernando Gonzalez
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 7.3 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 8.6 vs 7.0 Around 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly fast finishes 7.3 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly better submission offense 6.5 vs 6.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Jimmy Dexter
A lot taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Gonzalez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dexter’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fernando
Gonzalez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gonzalez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Gonzalez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Gonzalez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Dexter on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gonzalez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jimmy
Dexter
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dexter is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dexter is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dexter has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gonzalez 7.0
fighter Dexter 6.8
Great knockouts by Gonzalez
Round 1 Apr 23, 2009 vs Mays
Round 1 Jun 30, 2007 vs Atoe
Round 1 Aug 17, 2006 vs Stiebling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gonzalez 6.5
fighter Dexter 6.4
Great submissions by Gonzalez
Round 1 Apr 19, 2008 vs Urbina
Round 2 Dec 01, 2006 vs Luv
Round 2 Nov 14, 2004 vs Orr

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gonzalez 7.3
fighter Dexter 6.8
Fast finishes by Gonzalez
130 seconds Apr 19, 2008 vs Urbina
328 seconds Dec 01, 2006 vs Luv
155 seconds Aug 17, 2006 vs Stiebling
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 5, 2006WEC 20
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
DECX
1,6851,413
1,7021,396
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gonzalez
legend Dexter
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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