UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Acosta vs Bader

1,436

CageRank

WINNER
Bader

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
98% chance Bader
WILL WIN

2,073

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ryan Bader
Much stronger jaw 8.8 vs 7.1 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.1 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 7.2 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.9 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Buckley Acosta
Slightly heavier 214 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Bader on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Acosta’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
Bader
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bader has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Bader is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Bader has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Acosta on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bader’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Buckley
Acosta
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Acosta is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Acosta is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Acosta is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bader 7.6
fighter Acosta 6.9
Great knockouts by Bader
Round 1 Nov 19, 2011 vs Brilz
Round 3 Feb 20, 2010 vs Jardine
Round 1 Oct 27, 2007 vs Cortez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bader 7.4
fighter Acosta 6.7
Great submissions by Bader
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Matyushenko
Round 1 Apr 05, 2008 vs Acosta
Round 1 May 12, 2007 vs Baggett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bader 8.1
fighter Acosta 7.1
Fast finishes by Bader
50 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Matyushenko
77 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Brilz
730 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Jardine
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 5, 2008XCC 6
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 KO
1,5841,767
1,5581,793
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bader
legend Acosta
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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