UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ellis vs Jackson

1,934

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Ellis

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
81% chance Ellis
WILL WIN

1,680

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Eddy Ellis
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.0 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 8.7 vs 7.4 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better striker 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.1 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Jeremy Jackson
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Ellis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jackson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eddy
Ellis
In 8:42, how much damage will he do? Ellis Jackson
Significant Strikes42
Ellis's average striking offense is matched by Jackson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:42
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Ellis's average takedown offense may be a factor against Jackson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:42
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ellis is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Ellis has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Ellis is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Jackson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ellis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Jackson
In 8:42, how much damage will he do? Jackson Ellis
Significant Strikes29
Jackson's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Ellis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:42
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Jackson's average takedown offense is matched by Ellis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:42
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jackson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Jackson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jackson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Ellis 8.4
fighter Jackson 8.0
Great striking by Ellis
51 strikes Feb 23, 2008 vs Berger

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Ellis 8.7
fighter Jackson 8.3
Great takedowns by Ellis
4 takedowns Feb 23, 2008 vs Berger

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ellis 7.1
fighter Jackson 7.9
Great knockouts by Jackson
Round 1 Sep 28, 2002 vs Diaz
Round 1 Sep 28, 2002 vs Penalber
Round 2 Sep 28, 2002 vs Light

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ellis 8.2
fighter Jackson 7.0
Great submissions by Ellis
Round 2 Jul 29, 2011 vs Birdsley
Round 1 May 16, 2009 vs Davis
Round 1 Jan 12, 2008 vs Gates

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ellis 8.1
fighter Jackson 8.0
Fast finishes by Ellis
293 seconds Dec 09, 2011 vs Taylor
224 seconds May 16, 2009 vs Davis
262 seconds Jan 12, 2008 vs Gates
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XDEC
1,4081,508
1,3721,544
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ellis
legend Jackson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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