UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bruce vs Ertl

1,492

CageRank

WINNER
Ertl

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
71% chance Ertl
WILL WIN

1,649

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nick Ertl
Significantly better submission defense 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Slightly stronger jaw 7.2 vs 7.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Dax Bruce
Significantly better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.1 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Ertl on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bruce’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nick
Ertl
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ertl is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Ertl has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Ertl is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Bruce on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ertl’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dax
Bruce
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bruce is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Bruce is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bruce is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ertl 6.9
fighter Bruce 6.5
Great knockouts by Ertl
Round 2 Jul 12, 2002 vs Bruce
Round 1 Jul 18, 2001 vs Bills
Round 1 Jan 13, 2001 vs Jones

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ertl 7.1
fighter Bruce 7.7
Great submissions by Bruce
Round 1 Mar 02, 2002 vs Giles
Round 1 Dec 08, 2001 vs Cabanna
Round 1 Aug 31, 2001 vs Solorio

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ertl 7.6
fighter Bruce 7.5
Fast finishes by Ertl
39 seconds Nov 18, 2004 vs Cobb
452 seconds Jul 12, 2002 vs Bruce
246 seconds Jul 18, 2001 vs Bills
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XR2 KO
1,5771,639
1,5351,680
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ertl
legend Bruce
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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