UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Radach vs St. Preux

1,804

CageRank

WINNER
St. Preux

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance St. Preux
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ovince St. Preux
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.1 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 191 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 33 years vs 38 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Benji Radach
Significantly heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
St. Preux on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Radach’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ovince
St. Preux
In 9:32, how much damage will he do? St. Preux Radach
Significant Strikes47
St. Preux's good striking offense may be a factor against Radach's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:32
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
St. Preux's average takedown offense is matched by Radach's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:32
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Preux has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
St. Preux is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Preux is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Radach on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Preux’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Benji
Radach
In 9:32, how much damage will he do? Radach St. Preux
Significant Strikes40
Radach's average striking offense is matched by St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:32
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Radach's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:32
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Radach has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Radach is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Radach is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Preux 8.7
fighter Radach 8.3
Great striking by St. Preux
6 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
47 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Villante
82 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Radach

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Preux 8.0
fighter Radach 8.4
Great takedowns by Radach
1 takedown Oct 04, 2008 vs Rua

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Preux 8.1
fighter Radach 8.7
Great knockouts by Radach
Round 2 Oct 04, 2008 vs Rua
Round 2 Feb 02, 2007 vs McGivern
Round 1 Aug 16, 2003 vs Machado

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Preux 7.9
fighter Radach 6.1
Great submissions by St. Preux
Round 1 Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
Round 1 Apr 25, 2009 vs Mobley
Round 1 May 17, 2008 vs Cormier

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Preux 9.0
fighter Radach 8.5
Fast finishes by St. Preux
127 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
72 seconds Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
8 seconds Jul 24, 2010 vs Day
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R2 KOX
1,8591,821
1,8041,876
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Preux
legend Radach
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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