UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lemley vs Melendez

1,696

CageRank

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
96% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

2,243

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.9 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.3 More than 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.0 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Slightly taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Gabe Lemley
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.5 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lemley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 8:26, how much damage will he do? Melendez Lemley
Significant Strikes56
Melendez's excellent striking offense will dominate Lemley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:26
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Melendez's good takedown offense may be a factor against Lemley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:26
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Lemley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gabe
Lemley
In 8:26, how much damage will he do? Lemley Melendez
Significant Strikes27
Lemley's average striking offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:26
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lemley's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lemley is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lemley has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lemley is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter Lemley 8.3
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter Lemley 8.3
Great takedowns by Melendez
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
5 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Thomson
2 takedowns Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Lemley 6.9
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Lemley 8.0
Great submissions by Lemley
Round 1 Jul 18, 2008 vs McDaniel
Round 2 Jul 20, 2007 vs Wilson
Round 2 Dec 03, 2004 vs Jerrell

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Lemley 8.2
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XDEC
1,7912,020
1,7702,041
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Lemley
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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