UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Grove vs Boetsch

1,839

CageRank

WINNER
Boetsch

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
70% chance Boetsch
WILL WIN

1,989

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tim Boetsch
Significantly better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Kendall Grove
Much taller 198 cm vs 183 cm Around 10% taller
Much longer reach 201 cm vs 188 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly younger 35 years vs 37 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Boetsch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grove’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Boetsch
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Boetsch Grove
Significant Strikes59
Boetsch's average striking offense won't be a factor against Grove's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Boetsch's average takedown offense may be a factor against Grove's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boetsch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Boetsch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Boetsch has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Grove on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boetsch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kendall
Grove
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Grove Boetsch
Significant Strikes54
Grove's average striking offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Grove's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grove is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Grove is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Grove is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Boetsch 8.5
fighter Grove 8.0
Great striking by Boetsch
54 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Lombard
42 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
60 strikes Aug 07, 2010 vs Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Boetsch 8.2
fighter Grove 7.7
Great takedowns by Boetsch
4 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Ring
7 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Grove
3 takedowns Aug 07, 2010 vs Brown

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Boetsch 7.6
fighter Grove 7.2
Great knockouts by Boetsch
Round 3 Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
Round 1 Sep 06, 2008 vs Patt
Round 1 Feb 02, 2008 vs Heath

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Boetsch 7.4
fighter Grove 7.5
Great submissions by Grove
Round 1 Aug 27, 2011 vs Riggs
Round 2 Apr 07, 2007 vs Belcher
Round 1 Oct 10, 2006 vs Price

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Boetsch 7.8
fighter Grove 7.9
Fast finishes by Grove
59 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Riggs
239 seconds Nov 21, 2009 vs Rosholt
92 seconds Mar 07, 2009 vs Day
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 28, 2011UFC 130
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR1 KO
1,8421,885
1,7981,928
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Boetsch
legend Grove
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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