UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lesnar vs Ngannou

1,820

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lesnar

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance Lesnar
WILL WIN

1,612

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Brock Lesnar
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.2 vs 7.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 264 lbs vs 258 lbs Almost the same
Advantages for Francis Ngannou
Significantly younger 30 years vs 40 years 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Lesnar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ngannou’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brock
Lesnar
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lesnar has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Lesnar has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Lesnar has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Ngannou on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lesnar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Francis
Ngannou
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ngannou has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Ngannou is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ngannou is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lesnar 7.7
fighter Ngannou 7.4
Great knockouts by Lesnar
Round 2 Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
Round 2 Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lesnar 7.8
fighter Ngannou 7.5
Great submissions by Lesnar
Round 2 Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
Round 1 Jun 02, 2007 vs Soo Kim

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lesnar 8.2
fighter Ngannou 7.7
Fast finishes by Lesnar
439 seconds Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
408 seconds Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
487 seconds Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lesnar
legend Ngannou
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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