UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lesnar vs Rousey

1,820

CageRank

WINNER
Rousey

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
81% chance Rousey
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronda Rousey
Fast finishes 9.9 vs 8.2 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly younger 30 years vs 39 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Brock Lesnar
Much heavier 264 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 95% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much longer reach 206 cm vs 168 cm Around 25% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much taller 191 cm vs 168 cm Around 15% taller
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Rousey on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Lesnar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronda
Rousey
In 2:53, how much damage will she do? Rousey Lesnar
Significant Strikes11
Rousey's average striking offense won't be a factor against Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 26 Significant Strikes in 2:53
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rousey's excellent takedown offense will dominate Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 2:53
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rousey has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Rousey has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Rousey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lesnar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rousey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brock
Lesnar
In 2:53, how much damage will he do? Lesnar Rousey
Significant Strikes16
Lesnar's good striking offense may be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 26 Significant Strikes in 2:53
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lesnar's excellent takedown offense will dominate Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 2:53
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lesnar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lesnar is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lesnar is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rousey 8.5
fighter Lesnar 8.9
Great striking by Lesnar
8 strikes Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
47 strikes Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
31 strikes Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.4
fighter Lesnar 9.3
Great takedowns by Rousey
6 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
1 takedown Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rousey 7.4
fighter Lesnar 7.7
Great knockouts by Lesnar
Round 2 Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
Round 2 Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.3
fighter Lesnar 7.8
Great submissions by Rousey
Round 3 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rousey 9.9
fighter Lesnar 8.2
Fast finishes by Rousey
658 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
54 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
267 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rousey
legend Lesnar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 17 comments.
For the record, this is not my proudest wank...
I knew when I typed in Fedor vs. McGregor and it had Fedor up by a handful of points, that this was bullshit... Then I tried Brock Lesnar vs McGregor, and it has Lesnar getting shwacked by Conor... Lmao -- Ooooookay. But then I clicked on this, and just laughed. Just because Lesnar fumbled a time or two, being a rookie, and lost 1 due to a severe illness, doesn't mean he's NOT 264lbs of muscle, and doesn't mean he doesn't hit like a God damn truck, because I can assure you, he does.
Bbbuullllcccrrraaaaappppp!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Just to clue in this obviously bias website, Brock Lesnar would absolutely murder Rhona Rousey, Connor McGregor, BJ Penn, and Chris Weidman. He would murder them fast, without breaking a sweat, in round 1.. Size matter in any fight and if you are a genetic freak with the size, power, athletic abilities, and quickness of Brock Lesnar it tends to matter a LOT... My guess is that anyone thinking Lesnar doesn't kill Rhonda in seconds is either: (A) Completely unfamiliar with any sort of real fighting outside of movies and has never witnessed a legitimate fight in their lives... or (B) Hates Brock Lesnar because they ran their mouths back in '08 and was pissed off evertime Brock beat one of their favorite fighters. The guys who busted their asses to sound like knowledgeable MMA fans by saying Couture and Mir kill him in seconds, and then looked like idiots when Lesnar beat their asses. It has to be one or the other, because the Lesnar fights in this site are ridiculous. He destroys most of the people they say could beat him.... Rhonda Rousey? Get real people.
WWWWWWWWHHHHHHHHHHHHHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAATTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTTTTTTHHHHEEEEE HHHHHHHHHHHHHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEECCCCCCCCCCCCCCCKKKKKKKKKK!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!.
Welp, the computer apparently can't take into account that there's nothing Ronda could do on the ground to a man that would weigh in close to 300lbs at fight time. She goes for her patented judo toss, Brock yawns and then asks if she's done. Then he drives her down to Suplex City and submits her with a head and arm triangle.
God this would be such a hot porn....but uhh why the fuck are we talking like it'd be a fight?
this is hilarious
They'd end up having sex!
typicall feminist made scores
a 265 lb brock lesnar would get submitted by a 134 lb female ronda rousey in 1 round...... well alrighty then
brock could lie down in the ring put his arm straight into a ronda arm bar let her hold it for 4.5 rounds and still win this fight....... i mean stats are cool and all thats but come hes a fucking monster of a man and rousey is a beast a bantam weight , but cmon really this is ridiculous
ahahahahahahahahaha.. I like how it shows brock's wrestling picture he looks like a monster. hahahaha
Why are they even comparing the women's and men's scores like this? Ronda looks better statistically against OTHER WOMEN. In reality she'd get killed in the first round vs any male fighter.
Ma fatemi il piacere... Nella realtà Lesnar ucciderebbe Rousey. Il primo è un uomo (e pure molto più grosso e pesante), la seconda è una donna... Ho detto tutto. Certo che voi statunitensi siete letteralmente ossessionati da Ronda Rousey e dalle "femmine guerriere", eh? A sentir voi quella spocchiosa di Ronda batterebbe anche un Alexander Karelin o un Royce Gracie... Ma andate a cacare. ____________ P.S. Anche a parità di peso e di esercizio, un atleta di sesso maschile sviluppa una forza muscolare mediamente superiore del 30% rispetto ad una atleta di sesso femminile. Non a caso le gare sono divise in base al sesso, proprio per permettere alle femmine di "esistere sportivamente". Per essere più chiaro: le donne sono fisicamente inferiori agli uomini: punto. Tutto il resto è fuffa.
Lesnar could walk in the cage after drinking 3 cases of beer, have two broken hands and a broken leg and he would still win that fight
Would be rooting for Ronda but really? I think weight should play a bigger factor in these predictions, especially if the differential is over 100 lbs.
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