UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lesnar vs Miocic

1,820

CageRank

WINNER
Miocic

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance Miocic
WILL WIN

2,101

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Stipe Miocic
Significantly heavier hands 9.1 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.1 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 35 years vs 40 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Brock Lesnar
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.6 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 244 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 206 cm vs 203 cm Almost the same
Miocic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lesnar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stipe
Miocic
In 6:21, how much damage will he do? Miocic Lesnar
Significant Strikes31
Miocic's excellent striking offense will dominate Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 57 Significant Strikes in 6:21
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Miocic's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miocic has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Miocic is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Miocic is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lesnar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brock
Lesnar
In 6:21, how much damage will he do? Lesnar Miocic
Significant Strikes37
Lesnar's good striking offense may be a factor against Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 57 Significant Strikes in 6:21
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lesnar's excellent takedown offense will dominate Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:21
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lesnar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lesnar is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lesnar is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter Lesnar 8.9
Great striking by Miocic
63 strikes Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
106 strikes Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
32 strikes May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miocic 8.7
fighter Lesnar 9.3
Great takedowns by Lesnar
1 takedown Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
1 takedown Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
2 takedowns Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miocic 9.1
fighter Lesnar 7.7
Great knockouts by Miocic
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
Round 1 Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
Round 1 Feb 16, 2008 vs Stansbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miocic 6.6
fighter Lesnar 7.8
Great submissions by Lesnar
Round 2 Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
Round 1 Jun 02, 2007 vs Soo Kim

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter Lesnar 8.2
Fast finishes by Miocic
494 seconds May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
43 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
567 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Brents
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miocic
legend Lesnar
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Miocic vs Jones
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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