UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lesnar vs Werdum

1,820

CageRank

WINNER
Werdum

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 8.1 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.2 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Brock Lesnar
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 242 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly longer reach 206 cm vs 196 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lesnar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 6:07, how much damage will he do? Werdum Lesnar
Significant Strikes32
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 55 Significant Strikes in 6:07
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Werdum's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lesnar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brock
Lesnar
In 6:07, how much damage will he do? Lesnar Werdum
Significant Strikes24
Lesnar's good striking offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 55 Significant Strikes in 6:07
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lesnar's excellent takedown offense is matched by Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:07
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lesnar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lesnar is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lesnar has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Werdum 9.1
fighter Lesnar 8.9
Great striking by Werdum
32 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
31 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
1 strike Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.6
fighter Lesnar 9.3
Great takedowns by Lesnar
1 takedown Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
1 takedown Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
2 takedowns Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Werdum 7.9
fighter Lesnar 7.7
Great knockouts by Werdum
Round 1 Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
Round 1 Jun 07, 2008 vs Vera
Round 2 Jan 19, 2008 vs Gonzaga

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.5
fighter Lesnar 7.8
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Werdum 9.0
fighter Lesnar 8.2
Fast finishes by Werdum
461 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
148 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
69 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Werdum
legend Lesnar
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Werdum vs Rockhold
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Werdum wins this easily.
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