UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lesnar vs Soo Kim

1,820

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lesnar

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
89% chance Lesnar
WILL WIN

1,458

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Brock Lesnar
Much better takedown defense 8.9 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 8.3 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.1 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.1 vs 7.0 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 242 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 7.8 vs 7.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 8.2 vs 7.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 39 years vs 42 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Min Soo Kim
From what we can tell, Brock Lesnar dominates Min Soo Kim in every way.
Lesnar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Soo Kim’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brock
Lesnar
In 4:28, how much damage will he do? Lesnar Soo Kim
Significant Strikes26
Lesnar's good striking offense may be a factor against Soo Kim's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 40 Significant Strikes in 4:28
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lesnar's excellent takedown offense will dominate Soo Kim's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:28
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lesnar has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Lesnar has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Lesnar is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Soo Kim on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lesnar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Min
Soo Kim
In 4:28, how much damage will he do? Soo Kim Lesnar
Significant Strikes14
Soo Kim's average striking offense won't be a factor against Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 40 Significant Strikes in 4:28
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Soo Kim's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:28
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Soo Kim is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Soo Kim is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Soo Kim is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lesnar 8.9
fighter Soo Kim 8.2
Great striking by Lesnar
8 strikes Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
47 strikes Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
31 strikes Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lesnar 9.3
fighter Soo Kim 8.3
Great takedowns by Lesnar
1 takedown Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
1 takedown Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
2 takedowns Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lesnar 7.7
fighter Soo Kim 6.8
Great knockouts by Lesnar
Round 2 Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
Round 2 Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lesnar 7.8
fighter Soo Kim 7.1
Great submissions by Lesnar
Round 2 Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
Round 1 Jun 02, 2007 vs Soo Kim

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lesnar 8.2
fighter Soo Kim 7.1
Fast finishes by Lesnar
439 seconds Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
408 seconds Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
487 seconds Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 KOX
1,5001,470
1,5461,424
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lesnar
legend Soo Kim
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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