UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lesnar vs Couture

1,820

CageRank

WINNER
Couture

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
71% chance Couture
WILL WIN

1,975

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Randy Couture
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Brock Lesnar
Much younger 39 years vs 54 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Much heavier 264 lbs vs 203 lbs More than 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly longer reach 206 cm vs 191 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Couture on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lesnar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Randy
Couture
In 10:54, how much damage will he do? Couture Lesnar
Significant Strikes50
Couture's good striking offense is matched by Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:54
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Couture's excellent takedown offense will dominate Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:54
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Couture has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Couture is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Couture is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lesnar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Couture’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brock
Lesnar
In 10:54, how much damage will he do? Lesnar Couture
Significant Strikes37
Lesnar's good striking offense won't be a factor against Couture's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:54
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lesnar's excellent takedown offense is matched by Couture's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:54
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lesnar has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lesnar is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lesnar is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Couture 8.8
fighter Lesnar 8.9
Great striking by Lesnar
8 strikes Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
47 strikes Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
31 strikes Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Couture 9.2
fighter Lesnar 9.3
Great takedowns by Lesnar
1 takedown Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
1 takedown Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
2 takedowns Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Couture 7.3
fighter Lesnar 7.7
Great knockouts by Lesnar
Round 2 Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
Round 2 Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Couture 7.5
fighter Lesnar 7.8
Great submissions by Lesnar
Round 2 Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
Round 1 Jun 02, 2007 vs Soo Kim

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Couture 7.8
fighter Lesnar 8.2
Fast finishes by Lesnar
439 seconds Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
408 seconds Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
487 seconds Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 15, 2008UFC 91
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XR2 KO
1,6202,029
1,7111,938
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Couture
legend Lesnar
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Couture vs Emelianenko
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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