UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lesnar vs Nurmagomedov

1,820

CageRank

WINNER
Nurmagomedov

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
89% chance Nurmagomedov
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Much stronger jaw 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.1 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.2 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly younger 30 years vs 41 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Brock Lesnar
Much heavier 264 lbs vs 155 lbs More than 70% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much longer reach 206 cm vs 178 cm More than 15% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 191 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lesnar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nurmagomedov Lesnar
Significant Strikes63
Nurmagomedov's good striking offense is matched by Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Nurmagomedov's good takedown offense is matched by Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lesnar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brock
Lesnar
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lesnar Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes72
Lesnar's good striking offense is matched by Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Lesnar's excellent takedown offense will dominate Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lesnar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lesnar is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lesnar is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.6
fighter Lesnar 8.9
Great striking by Lesnar
8 strikes Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
47 strikes Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
31 strikes Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 9.0
fighter Lesnar 9.3
Great takedowns by Lesnar
1 takedown Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
1 takedown Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
2 takedowns Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
fighter Lesnar 7.7
Great knockouts by Nurmagomedov
Round 1 Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
Round 1 Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Round 2 Feb 12, 2011 vs Agafonov

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
fighter Lesnar 7.8
Great submissions by Nurmagomedov
Round 3 Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 1 Aug 05, 2011 vs Mamedov
Round 1 Nov 03, 2009 vs Shamhalaev

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
fighter Lesnar 8.2
Fast finishes by Nurmagomedov
115 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
728 seconds Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus
213 seconds Oct 22, 2011 vs Santos
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nurmagomedov
legend Lesnar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Fucking serious? Lol
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