UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lesnar vs Cormier

1,820

CageRank

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

2,234

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.1 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Brock Lesnar
Much longer reach 206 cm vs 184 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 8.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 191 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lesnar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 7:07, how much damage will he do? Cormier Lesnar
Significant Strikes39
Cormier's excellent striking offense will dominate Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 64 Significant Strikes in 7:07
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cormier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lesnar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brock
Lesnar
In 7:07, how much damage will he do? Lesnar Cormier
Significant Strikes31
Lesnar's good striking offense is matched by Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 64 Significant Strikes in 7:07
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lesnar's excellent takedown offense is matched by Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:07
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lesnar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lesnar is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lesnar is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Lesnar 8.9
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Lesnar 9.3
Great takedowns by Lesnar
1 takedown Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
1 takedown Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
2 takedowns Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Lesnar 7.7
Great knockouts by Cormier
Round 2 Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
Round 1 Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
Round 1 Jul 31, 2010 vs Browne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Lesnar 7.8
Great submissions by Cormier
Round 1 Nov 05, 2010 vs Palelei
Round 1 Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Round 1 Aug 13, 2010 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Lesnar 8.2
Fast finishes by Cormier
542 seconds Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
236 seconds Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
62 seconds Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Lesnar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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