UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lesnar vs Teixeira

1,820

CageRank

WINNER
Teixeira

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
88% chance Teixeira
WILL WIN

2,168

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Glover Teixeira
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better striker 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Slightly younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Brock Lesnar
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly longer reach 206 cm vs 192 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Slightly taller 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Teixeira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lesnar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Glover
Teixeira
In 4:16, how much damage will he do? Teixeira Lesnar
Significant Strikes26
Teixeira's excellent striking offense will dominate Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 38 Significant Strikes in 4:16
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Teixeira's excellent takedown offense will dominate Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:16
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Teixeira has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Teixeira has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Teixeira is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lesnar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Teixeira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brock
Lesnar
In 4:16, how much damage will he do? Lesnar Teixeira
Significant Strikes22
Lesnar's good striking offense may be a factor against Teixeira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 38 Significant Strikes in 4:16
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lesnar's excellent takedown offense is matched by Teixeira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:16
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lesnar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lesnar is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lesnar is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Teixeira 9.4
fighter Lesnar 8.9
Great striking by Teixeira
14 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
12 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Te-Huna
80 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Teixeira 9.3
fighter Lesnar 9.3
Great takedowns by Lesnar
1 takedown Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
1 takedown Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
2 takedowns Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Teixeira 9.0
fighter Lesnar 7.7
Great knockouts by Teixeira
Round 1 Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
Round 2 Oct 13, 2012 vs Maldonado
Round 2 Jul 20, 2011 vs Cruz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Teixeira 8.0
fighter Lesnar 7.8
Great submissions by Teixeira
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Te-Huna
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Kingsbury
Round 1 Aug 05, 2011 vs Mendes

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Teixeira 9.5
fighter Lesnar 8.2
Fast finishes by Teixeira
175 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
158 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Te-Huna
118 seconds Nov 27, 2011 vs Rodriguez
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Teixeira
legend Lesnar
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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