UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lesnar vs Romero

1,820

CageRank

WINNER
Romero

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
69% chance Romero
WILL WIN

1,955

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Yoel Romero
Much heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Brock Lesnar
Much stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 7.9 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.6 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier 264 lbs vs 184 lbs Around 45% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much longer reach 206 cm vs 185 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
A lot taller 191 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Slightly fast finishes 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Romero on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lesnar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yoel
Romero
In 9:45, how much damage will he do? Romero Lesnar
Significant Strikes45
Romero's good striking offense is matched by Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:45
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Romero's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Romero has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Romero is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Romero is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lesnar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Romero’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brock
Lesnar
In 9:45, how much damage will he do? Lesnar Romero
Significant Strikes52
Lesnar's good striking offense may be a factor against Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:45
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Lesnar's excellent takedown offense will dominate Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:45
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lesnar has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Lesnar has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lesnar is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Romero 8.8
fighter Lesnar 8.9
Great striking by Lesnar
8 strikes Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
47 strikes Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
31 strikes Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Romero 7.9
fighter Lesnar 9.3
Great takedowns by Lesnar
1 takedown Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
1 takedown Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
2 takedowns Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Romero 9.0
fighter Lesnar 7.7
Great knockouts by Romero
Round 3 Jan 15, 2014 vs Brunson
Round 3 Nov 06, 2013 vs Markes
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Starks

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Romero 6.6
fighter Lesnar 7.8
Great submissions by Lesnar
Round 2 Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
Round 1 Jun 02, 2007 vs Soo Kim

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Romero 8.1
fighter Lesnar 8.2
Fast finishes by Lesnar
439 seconds Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
408 seconds Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
487 seconds Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Romero
legend Lesnar
Read More
Lesnar vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Romero vs Woodley
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus