UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cummo vs Morgan

1,629

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Cummo

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
57% chance Cummo
WILL WIN

1,576

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Luke Cummo
Much harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.2 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly heavier 169 lbs vs 164 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 7.5 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.0 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Sam Morgan
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.7 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.7 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 36 years vs 38 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Cummo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luke
Cummo
In 9:37, how much damage will he do? Cummo Morgan
Significant Strikes45
Cummo's below average striking offense is matched by Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:37
Below average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cummo's below average takedown offense may be a factor against Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:37
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Poor
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cummo has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Cummo is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Cummo is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Morgan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cummo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Morgan
In 9:37, how much damage will he do? Morgan Cummo
Significant Strikes25
Morgan's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Cummo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:37
Below average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Morgan's average takedown offense may be a factor against Cummo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:37
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Morgan is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Morgan has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Poor
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cummo 8.0
fighter Morgan 7.9
Great striking by Cummo
6 strikes Sep 19, 2007 vs de Oliveira
38 strikes Apr 07, 2007 vs Haynes
43 strikes Apr 06, 2006 vs Von Flue

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cummo 7.8
fighter Morgan 6.2
Great knockouts by Cummo
Round 1 Sep 19, 2007 vs de Oliveira
Round 2 Apr 07, 2007 vs Haynes
Round 2 Jun 07, 2003 vs Tirelli

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cummo 6.7
fighter Morgan 7.6
Great submissions by Morgan
Round 1 Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
Round 1 May 24, 2003 vs Severson
Round 1 Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cummo 7.5
fighter Morgan 7.5
Fast finishes by Morgan
52 seconds Apr 09, 2005 vs Ludwig
161 seconds Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
178 seconds Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cummo
legend Morgan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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