UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Haynes vs Cummo

1,670

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Haynes

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
56% chance Haynes
WILL WIN

1,629

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Josh Haynes
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Luke Cummo
Much heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.9 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 7.5 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 38 years vs 41 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Haynes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cummo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Haynes
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Haynes Cummo
Significant Strikes44
Haynes's average striking offense won't be a factor against Cummo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Haynes's average takedown offense may be a factor against Cummo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Haynes is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Haynes is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Haynes has a chance to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Poor
Scoring ability
Cummo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Haynes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luke
Cummo
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cummo Haynes
Significant Strikes60
Cummo's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Haynes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cummo's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Haynes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cummo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Cummo is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cummo is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Haynes 6.9
fighter Cummo 7.8
Great knockouts by Cummo
Round 1 Sep 19, 2007 vs de Oliveira
Round 2 Apr 07, 2007 vs Haynes
Round 2 Jun 07, 2003 vs Tirelli

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Haynes 7.3
fighter Cummo 6.7
Great submissions by Haynes
Round 2 Oct 11, 2008 vs Salmon
Round 2 Sep 14, 2005 vs Kleinbeck
Round 2 Jul 09, 2005 vs Williams

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Haynes 7.1
fighter Cummo 7.5
Fast finishes by Cummo
105 seconds Sep 19, 2007 vs de Oliveira
465 seconds Apr 07, 2007 vs Haynes
157 seconds Oct 12, 2002 vs Kadri
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 7, 2007UFC 69
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
DECX
1,5921,570
1,5391,623
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Haynes
legend Cummo
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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