UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gusmao vs Jones

1,674

CageRank

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
98% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,377

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much stronger jaw 9.7 vs 7.4 More than 30% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.9 vs 8.2 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.1 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 193 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly younger 30 years vs 40 years 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Andre Gusmao
From what we can tell, Jon Jones dominates Andre Gusmao in every way.
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gusmao’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 6:04, how much damage will he do? Jones Gusmao
Significant Strikes44
Jones's excellent striking offense will dominate Gusmao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 55 Significant Strikes in 6:04
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Jones's excellent takedown offense will dominate Gusmao's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:04
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Gusmao on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Andre
Gusmao
In 6:04, how much damage will he do? Gusmao Jones
Significant Strikes14
Gusmao's average striking offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 55 Significant Strikes in 6:04
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Gusmao's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:04
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gusmao is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gusmao is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gusmao is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter Gusmao 8.5
Great striking by Jones
20 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
105 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
61 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter Gusmao 8.1
Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
1 takedown Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Gusmao 7.6
Great knockouts by Jones
Round 1 Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Gusmao 7.4
Great submissions by Jones
Round 4 Sep 22, 2012 vs Belfort
Round 2 Dec 10, 2011 vs Machida
Round 4 Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Gusmao 8.0
Fast finishes by Jones
273 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
974 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson
757 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 9, 2008UFC 87
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R2 KOX
1,7601,728
1,7051,782
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Gusmao
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus