UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Heath vs Boetsch

1,847

CageRank

WINNER
Boetsch

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
69% chance Boetsch
WILL WIN

1,989

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tim Boetsch
Significantly better striker 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 37 years vs 41 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.7 Almost the same
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for David Heath
Significantly heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 203 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Boetsch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Heath’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Boetsch
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Boetsch Heath
Significant Strikes88
Boetsch's average striking offense may be a factor against Heath's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Boetsch's average takedown offense is matched by Heath's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boetsch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Boetsch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Boetsch has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Heath on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boetsch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
David
Heath
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Heath Boetsch
Significant Strikes52
Heath's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Heath's average takedown offense is matched by Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Heath has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Heath is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Heath is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Boetsch 8.5
fighter Heath 8.0
Great striking by Boetsch
54 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Lombard
42 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
60 strikes Aug 07, 2010 vs Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Boetsch 8.2
fighter Heath 7.9
Great takedowns by Boetsch
4 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Ring
7 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Grove
3 takedowns Aug 07, 2010 vs Brown

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Boetsch 7.6
fighter Heath 8.1
Great knockouts by Heath
Round 2 Mar 10, 2012 vs Parker
Round 2 Sep 10, 2010 vs Hutcherson
Round 2 Jun 30, 2006 vs Wince

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Boetsch 7.4
fighter Heath 7.2
Great submissions by Boetsch
Round 2 Jan 16, 2010 vs Sylvester Lindsey
Round 2 Aug 15, 2009 vs Stark
Round 2 Jul 28, 2007 vs Barrett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Boetsch 7.8
fighter Heath 7.7
Fast finishes by Boetsch
654 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Okami
65 seconds Apr 03, 2010 vs Shaner
123 seconds Sep 06, 2008 vs Patt
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 2, 2008UFC 81
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R1 SUBX
1,7891,723
1,7301,783
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Boetsch
legend Heath
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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