UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bongfeldt vs Grant

1,844

CageRank

WINNER
Grant

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
84% chance Grant
WILL WIN

2,138

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for T.J. Grant
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Jesse Bongfeldt
Heavier 184 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Grant on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bongfeldt’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Grant
In 10:40, how much damage will he do? Grant Bongfeldt
Significant Strikes63
Grant's excellent striking offense will dominate Bongfeldt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:40
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Grant's average takedown offense is matched by Bongfeldt's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:40
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grant is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Grant has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Grant is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Bongfeldt on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grant’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jesse
Bongfeldt
In 10:40, how much damage will he do? Bongfeldt Grant
Significant Strikes45
Bongfeldt's average striking offense is matched by Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:40
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Bongfeldt's average takedown offense is matched by Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:40
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bongfeldt is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bongfeldt has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bongfeldt is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Grant 9.1
fighter Bongfeldt 8.1
Great striking by Grant
26 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
54 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
164 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Dunham

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Grant 7.7
fighter Bongfeldt 7.3
Great knockouts by Grant
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
Round 1 Dec 12, 2009 vs Burns

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Grant 8.2
fighter Bongfeldt 8.3
Great submissions by Bongfeldt
Round 3 Feb 28, 2008 vs Grant
Round 2 Sep 28, 2007 vs Clements
Round 1 Sep 09, 2006 vs St. Louis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Grant 8.3
fighter Bongfeldt 8.0
Fast finishes by Grant
127 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
291 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
732 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 28, 2008TKO 32
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
R1 SUBX
1,8131,798
1,8611,750
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Grant
legend Bongfeldt
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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