UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Larkin vs Daley

1,889

CageRank

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Daley
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 8.0 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 189 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Advantages for Lorenz Larkin
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 32 years vs 35 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Larkin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 10:03, how much damage will he do? Daley Larkin
Significant Strikes47
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Larkin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 10:03
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Larkin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:03
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Larkin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lorenz
Larkin
In 10:03, how much damage will he do? Larkin Daley
Significant Strikes44
Larkin's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 10:03
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Larkin's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:03
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Larkin is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Larkin is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Larkin has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Larkin 8.6
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Daley 7.6
fighter Larkin 7.6
Great takedowns by Daley
1 takedown Jun 22, 2007 vs Ludwig

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Larkin 8.0
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Larkin 6.2
Great submissions by Daley
Round 3 Jul 18, 2010 vs Acacio
Round 2 Apr 21, 2007 vs Jenkins

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Larkin 7.6
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 23, 2017Bellator 183
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Larkin
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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