UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Larkin vs Magny

1,889

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Larkin

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
50% chance Larkin
WILL WIN

1,887

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Lorenz Larkin
Significantly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Neil Magny
Much longer reach 206 cm vs 185 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much taller 191 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.2 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Larkin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Magny’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lorenz
Larkin
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Larkin Magny
Significant Strikes69
Larkin's average striking offense is matched by Magny's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Larkin's below average takedown offense is matched by Magny's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Larkin is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Larkin is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Larkin has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Magny on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Larkin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Neil
Magny
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Magny Larkin
Significant Strikes57
Magny's average striking offense is matched by Larkin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Magny's average takedown offense is matched by Larkin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Magny is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Magny is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Magny has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Larkin 8.6
fighter Magny 8.4
Great striking by Larkin
46 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Camozzi
50 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Lawler
65 strikes Sep 23, 2011 vs Rossborough

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Larkin 7.6
fighter Magny 8.5
Great takedowns by Magny
4 takedowns Feb 23, 2013 vs Manley

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Larkin 8.0
fighter Magny 7.4
Great knockouts by Larkin
Round 2 Apr 01, 2011 vs Lighty
Round 2 Feb 25, 2011 vs Cook
Round 1 Jun 12, 2010 vs Carson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Larkin 6.2
fighter Magny 6.9
Great submissions by Magny
Round 3 Feb 14, 2015 vs Kunimoto
Round 2 May 14, 2011 vs Stitt
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Norwood

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Larkin 7.6
fighter Magny 7.1
Fast finishes by Larkin
495 seconds Apr 01, 2011 vs Lighty
512 seconds Feb 25, 2011 vs Cook
174 seconds Jun 12, 2010 vs Carson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 20, 2016UFC 202
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Larkin
legend Magny
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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