UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Larkin vs Ponzinibbio

1,889

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Larkin

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
58% chance Larkin
WILL WIN

1,835

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Lorenz Larkin
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 8.0 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Santiago Ponzinibbio
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.2 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Larkin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ponzinibbio’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lorenz
Larkin
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Larkin Ponzinibbio
Significant Strikes77
Larkin's average striking offense is matched by Ponzinibbio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Larkin's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ponzinibbio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Larkin is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Larkin is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Larkin is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ponzinibbio on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Larkin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Santiago
Ponzinibbio
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ponzinibbio Larkin
Significant Strikes55
Ponzinibbio's average striking offense is matched by Larkin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Ponzinibbio's average takedown offense is matched by Larkin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ponzinibbio is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ponzinibbio is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ponzinibbio is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Larkin 8.6
fighter Ponzinibbio 8.3
Great striking by Larkin
46 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs Camozzi
50 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Lawler
65 strikes Sep 23, 2011 vs Rossborough

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Larkin 8.0
fighter Ponzinibbio 7.8
Great knockouts by Larkin
Round 2 Apr 01, 2011 vs Lighty
Round 2 Feb 25, 2011 vs Cook
Round 1 Jun 12, 2010 vs Carson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Larkin 6.2
fighter Ponzinibbio 7.3
Great submissions by Ponzinibbio
Round 1 Jun 09, 2012 vs Duarte
Round 1 Mar 02, 2012 vs Vieira
Round 0 Sep 27, 2009 vs Sosa Campi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Larkin 7.6
fighter Ponzinibbio 8.2
Fast finishes by Ponzinibbio
158 seconds Jun 09, 2012 vs Duarte
600 seconds Dec 12, 2011 vs Dias
90 seconds Sep 17, 2011 vs Nascimento
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 27, 2015UFC Fight Night 70
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Larkin
legend Ponzinibbio
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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