UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rockhold vs Souza

2,108

CageRank

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
69% chance Souza
WILL WIN

2,245

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 7.4 Around 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Luke Rockhold
A lot taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 187 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 33 years vs 38 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 184 lbs vs 183 lbs Almost the same
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rockhold’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 7:25, how much damage will he do? Souza Rockhold
Significant Strikes30
Souza's good striking offense is matched by Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 67 Significant Strikes in 7:25
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:25
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rockhold on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luke
Rockhold
In 7:25, how much damage will he do? Rockhold Souza
Significant Strikes28
Rockhold's excellent striking offense is matched by Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 67 Significant Strikes in 7:25
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Rockhold's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:25
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rockhold is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rockhold has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rockhold is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Rockhold 9.1
Great striking by Rockhold
12 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
60 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Kennedy
97 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Souza

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Rockhold 7.4
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Rockhold 7.9
Great knockouts by Rockhold
Round 1 Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
Round 1 Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
Round 1 Feb 26, 2010 vs Bradley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Rockhold 8.6
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Rockhold 9.5
Fast finishes by Rockhold
151 seconds Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
266 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
30 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
XR2 SUB
1,8692,108
1,9492,029
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Rockhold
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Souza vs Aldo
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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