UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rockhold vs Boetsch

2,108

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rockhold

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
66% chance Rockhold
WILL WIN

1,989

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Luke Rockhold
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 8.6 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
A lot taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 32 years vs 36 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Tim Boetsch
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Rockhold on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Boetsch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luke
Rockhold
In 8:03, how much damage will he do? Rockhold Boetsch
Significant Strikes48
Rockhold's excellent striking offense will dominate Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 72 Significant Strikes in 8:03
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rockhold's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Boetsch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:03
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rockhold is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rockhold has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rockhold is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Boetsch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rockhold’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Boetsch
In 8:03, how much damage will he do? Boetsch Rockhold
Significant Strikes29
Boetsch's average striking offense won't be a factor against Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 72 Significant Strikes in 8:03
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Boetsch's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:03
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Boetsch is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Boetsch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Boetsch is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rockhold 9.1
fighter Boetsch 8.5
Great striking by Rockhold
12 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
60 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Kennedy
97 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Souza

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rockhold 7.4
fighter Boetsch 8.2
Great takedowns by Boetsch
4 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Ring
7 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Grove
3 takedowns Aug 07, 2010 vs Brown

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rockhold 7.9
fighter Boetsch 7.6
Great knockouts by Rockhold
Round 1 Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
Round 1 Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
Round 1 Feb 26, 2010 vs Bradley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rockhold 8.6
fighter Boetsch 7.4
Great submissions by Rockhold
Round 1 Nov 06, 2009 vs Taylor
Round 1 Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Round 1 Nov 21, 2008 vs Theotikos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rockhold 9.5
fighter Boetsch 7.8
Fast finishes by Rockhold
151 seconds Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
266 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
30 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 26, 2014UFC 172
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rockhold
legend Boetsch
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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