UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rockhold vs Whittaker

2,108

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rockhold

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
84% chance Rockhold
WILL WIN

1,824

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Luke Rockhold
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.6 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 191 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 187 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Robert Whittaker
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.4 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 26 years vs 32 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Rockhold on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Whittaker’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luke
Rockhold
In 5:36, how much damage will he do? Rockhold Whittaker
Significant Strikes37
Rockhold's excellent striking offense will dominate Whittaker's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 50 Significant Strikes in 5:36
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Rockhold's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Whittaker's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:36
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rockhold is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rockhold has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rockhold is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Whittaker on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rockhold’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robert
Whittaker
In 5:36, how much damage will he do? Whittaker Rockhold
Significant Strikes22
Whittaker's good striking offense is matched by Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 50 Significant Strikes in 5:36
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Whittaker's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:36
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Whittaker is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Whittaker is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Whittaker is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rockhold 9.1
fighter Whittaker 8.7
Great striking by Rockhold
12 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
60 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Kennedy
97 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Souza

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rockhold 7.4
fighter Whittaker 8.0
Great takedowns by Whittaker
1 takedown May 25, 2013 vs Smith

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rockhold 7.9
fighter Whittaker 7.8
Great knockouts by Rockhold
Round 1 Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
Round 1 Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
Round 1 Feb 26, 2010 vs Bradley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rockhold 8.6
fighter Whittaker 7.3
Great submissions by Rockhold
Round 1 Nov 06, 2009 vs Taylor
Round 1 Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Round 1 Nov 21, 2008 vs Theotikos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rockhold 9.5
fighter Whittaker 7.6
Fast finishes by Rockhold
151 seconds Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
266 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
30 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rockhold
legend Whittaker
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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