UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Carmouche vs Rousey

1,707

CageRank

WINNER
Rousey

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
89% chance Rousey
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronda Rousey
Fast finishes 9.9 vs 7.6 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.3 vs 7.0 Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Liz Carmouche
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Slightly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Rousey on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Carmouche’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronda
Rousey
In 4:25, how much damage will she do? Rousey Carmouche
Significant Strikes19
Rousey's average striking offense is matched by Carmouche's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 40 Significant Strikes in 4:25
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rousey's excellent takedown offense will dominate Carmouche's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:25
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rousey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rousey has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Rousey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Carmouche on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Rousey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Liz
Carmouche
In 4:25, how much damage will she do? Carmouche Rousey
Significant Strikes21
Carmouche's average striking offense is matched by Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 40 Significant Strikes in 4:25
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Carmouche's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:25
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carmouche is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Carmouche is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carmouche is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rousey 8.5
fighter Carmouche 8.5
Great striking by Carmouche
50 strikes Jul 27, 2013 vs Andrade
81 strikes Nov 19, 2010 vs Finney
15 strikes Aug 13, 2010 vs Schneider

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.4
fighter Carmouche 8.5
Great takedowns by Rousey
6 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
1 takedown Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rousey 7.4
fighter Carmouche 7.9
Great knockouts by Carmouche
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Andrade
Round 3 Nov 19, 2010 vs Finney
Round 2 Sep 30, 2010 vs Shevchenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.3
fighter Carmouche 7.0
Great submissions by Rousey
Round 3 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rousey 9.9
fighter Carmouche 7.6
Fast finishes by Rousey
658 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
54 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
267 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 23, 2013UFC 157
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,7561,931
1,7291,958
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rousey
legend Carmouche
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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