UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Carmouche vs Tate

1,707

CageRank

WINNER
Tate

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
67% chance Tate
WILL WIN

1,831

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Miesha Tate
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.0 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Liz Carmouche
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly longer reach 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Slightly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Tate on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Carmouche’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Miesha
Tate
In 15:00, how much damage will she do? Tate Carmouche
Significant Strikes45
Tate's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Carmouche's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Tate's good takedown offense may be a factor against Carmouche's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tate is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tate has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Tate has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Carmouche on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Tate’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Liz
Carmouche
In 15:00, how much damage will she do? Carmouche Tate
Significant Strikes68
Carmouche's average striking offense is matched by Tate's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Carmouche's average takedown offense is matched by Tate's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carmouche is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Carmouche is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carmouche is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Tate 7.9
fighter Carmouche 8.5
Great striking by Carmouche
50 strikes Jul 27, 2013 vs Andrade
81 strikes Nov 19, 2010 vs Finney
15 strikes Aug 13, 2010 vs Schneider

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Tate 9.0
fighter Carmouche 8.5
Great takedowns by Tate
4 takedowns Jul 30, 2011 vs Coenen
2 takedowns Aug 13, 2010 vs Akano
3 takedowns Mar 26, 2010 vs Frausto

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Tate 6.8
fighter Carmouche 7.9
Great knockouts by Carmouche
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Andrade
Round 3 Nov 19, 2010 vs Finney
Round 2 Sep 30, 2010 vs Shevchenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Tate 7.8
fighter Carmouche 7.0
Great submissions by Tate
Round 3 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kedzie
Round 4 Jul 30, 2011 vs Coenen
Round 2 Mar 26, 2010 vs Frausto

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Tate 7.4
fighter Carmouche 7.6
Fast finishes by Carmouche
537 seconds Jul 27, 2013 vs Andrade
514 seconds Jul 28, 2012 vs Young
690 seconds Nov 19, 2010 vs Finney
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 19, 2014UFC on Fox 11
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Tate
legend Carmouche
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Tate's going to win. To train to bring ronda down, and she did a few times in her rematch, has given her more than enough to take down an opponent far less dangerous than Rousey. both girls are hearty fighters but Miesha is taller and has i think an edge in the mental game. She i think feels the pain of loss more intensely, having gone round and round with Ronda for a painfully long time, so she'll be in a deeper headspace than Carmouche
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