UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Carmouche vs McMann

1,707

CageRank

WINNER
McMann

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
71% chance McMann
WILL WIN

1,865

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sara McMann
Significantly better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.6 Almost the same
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Liz Carmouche
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 34 years vs 37 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.4 Almost the same
McMann on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Carmouche’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sara
McMann
In 15:00, how much damage will she do? McMann Carmouche
Significant Strikes67
McMann's average striking offense is matched by Carmouche's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
McMann's good takedown offense may be a factor against Carmouche's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McMann is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McMann is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
McMann has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Carmouche on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against McMann’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Liz
Carmouche
In 15:00, how much damage will she do? Carmouche McMann
Significant Strikes75
Carmouche's average striking offense is matched by McMann's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Carmouche's average takedown offense won't be a factor against McMann's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carmouche has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Carmouche is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carmouche is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter McMann 8.6
fighter Carmouche 8.5
Great striking by McMann
8 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Gaff
61 strikes Jul 28, 2012 vs Baszler
28 strikes Jan 21, 2012 vs Akano

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter McMann 9.0
fighter Carmouche 8.5
Great takedowns by McMann
2 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Gaff
4 takedowns Jul 28, 2012 vs Baszler
8 takedowns Jan 21, 2012 vs Akano

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter McMann 7.3
fighter Carmouche 7.9
Great knockouts by Carmouche
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Andrade
Round 3 Nov 19, 2010 vs Finney
Round 2 Sep 30, 2010 vs Shevchenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter McMann 7.5
fighter Carmouche 7.0
Great submissions by McMann
Round 3 Aug 27, 2011 vs Pa'aluhi
Round 1 Jun 17, 2011 vs Malenfant
Round 1 May 28, 2011 vs Marks

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter McMann 7.8
fighter Carmouche 7.6
Fast finishes by McMann
246 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Gaff
773 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Pa'aluhi
101 seconds May 28, 2011 vs Marks
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend McMann
legend Carmouche
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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