UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Goulet vs Hironaka

1,789

CageRank

WINNER
Hironaka

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
77% chance Hironaka
WILL WIN

2,001

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kuniyoshi Hironaka
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.0 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better striker 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 8.0 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Jonathan Goulet
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 153 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Younger 39 years vs 42 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 187 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Hironaka on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Goulet’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kuniyoshi
Hironaka
In 9:07, how much damage will he do? Hironaka Goulet
Significant Strikes41
Hironaka's average striking offense is matched by Goulet's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 82 Significant Strikes in 9:07
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hironaka's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Goulet's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hironaka has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Hironaka is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hironaka is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Goulet on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hironaka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jonathan
Goulet
In 9:07, how much damage will he do? Goulet Hironaka
Significant Strikes34
Goulet's below average striking offense is matched by Hironaka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 82 Significant Strikes in 9:07
Below average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Goulet's good takedown offense is matched by Hironaka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:07
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Goulet has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Goulet is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Goulet is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hironaka 8.3
fighter Goulet 7.8
Great striking by Hironaka
11 strikes Oct 25, 2009 vs Sik Park
35 strikes Jul 21, 2008 vs Miyazawa
26 strikes Apr 05, 2007 vs Petz

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hironaka 8.1
fighter Goulet 8.8
Great takedowns by Goulet
3 takedowns Dec 08, 2007 vs Georgieff
6 takedowns Jun 28, 2006 vs Cummo

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hironaka 7.8
fighter Goulet 8.4
Great knockouts by Goulet
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Hironaka
Round 1 Mar 17, 2007 vs Bongfeldt
Round 3 Oct 03, 2005 vs Hieron

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hironaka 7.8
fighter Goulet 7.0
Great submissions by Hironaka
Round 4 Sep 29, 2013 vs Koyama
Round 2 May 24, 2009 vs Kotani
Round 2 Feb 04, 2006 vs Schultz

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hironaka 8.2
fighter Goulet 8.3
Fast finishes by Goulet
427 seconds Apr 19, 2008 vs Hironaka
185 seconds Nov 05, 2005 vs Carter
106 seconds Jul 15, 2005 vs Jensen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 19, 2008UFC 83
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R2 KOX
1,8711,807
1,9121,767
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hironaka
legend Goulet
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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