UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gasson vs Morgan

1,507

CageRank

WINNER
Morgan

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
60% chance Morgan
WILL WIN

1,576

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sam Morgan
Significantly fast finishes 7.5 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.1 vs 7.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Alex Gasson
Significantly heavier 169 lbs vs 164 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 6.4 vs 6.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Morgan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gasson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Morgan
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Morgan has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Morgan is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Gasson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alex
Gasson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gasson is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Gasson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Gasson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Morgan 6.2
fighter Gasson 6.4
Great knockouts by Gasson
Round 1 Oct 13, 2010 vs Kessler

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Morgan 7.6
fighter Gasson 7.0
Great submissions by Morgan
Round 1 Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
Round 1 May 24, 2003 vs Severson
Round 1 Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Morgan 7.5
fighter Gasson 6.8
Fast finishes by Morgan
52 seconds Apr 09, 2005 vs Ludwig
161 seconds Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
178 seconds Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 9, 2003ROF 9
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XSUB
1,4261,760
1,4131,773
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Morgan
legend Gasson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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